The Button Experiment

In 2008, researchers at the Max Planck Institute showed that brain activity can predict a person's "free" choice of left or right up to 10 seconds before they are aware of deciding. They achieved roughly 60% accuracy — significantly above the 50% chance baseline.

This experiment lets you experience something similar. Press Left or Right — freely, spontaneously, without thinking. A simple algorithm will try to predict your choice based on your own behavioral patterns.

Round 1 of 20

Choose a side. Don't think — just pick.

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What Just Happened

The Algorithm

The prediction model is simple. It tracks three patterns in your choices:

  1. Frequency bias: most people slightly favor one side. If you've pressed left 60% of the time, the algorithm gives weight to left.
  2. Alternation bias: humans trying to be "random" tend to alternate more than true randomness would. If you just pressed left, the algorithm gives weight to right.
  3. Sequence patterns: after sequences like L-L or R-L, you may develop habitual responses. The algorithm tracks these transitions.

This is not reading your brain. It's reading your behavioral fingerprint — the patterns embedded in your choices that you can't see from the inside.

Why This Matters

If a trivial algorithm running in a web browser can predict your "free" choices above chance, imagine what a system with access to your neural activity could do — which is exactly what Soon et al. demonstrated in 2008.

The feeling of freedom is not evidence of freedom. Every choice you made felt spontaneous. You could have chosen differently — or so it seemed. But your choices followed statistical patterns that were visible to a simple model and invisible to you.

This doesn't prove you lack free will. A compatibilist would say that acting on your own patterns is free will. But it demonstrates something important: the sense of choosing freely and the reality of choosing predictably are not mutually exclusive.

The Real Experiment

In Soon et al. (2008), the prediction wasn't based on behavioral patterns — it was based on fMRI brain scans. Activity in the frontopolar cortex and precuneus encoded the upcoming decision up to 10 seconds before participants reported awareness of choosing. The brain had already "decided" left or right while the conscious mind was still deliberating.

Read more about this research on the Free Will & Determinism page.